Easter Monday shuts most major markets to open the week - expect thin volumes and little price action on Monday. That changes fast. From Wednesday, the calendar loads up: RBNZ rate decision, FOMC Minutes, US Core PCE and Final GDP on Thursday, then a high-stakes US CPI print to close out Friday. Six events to watch closely.

■ KEY EVENTS THIS WEEK

WED 8 APR · 04:00 UTC · NZD

RBNZ Official Cash Rate

New Zealand central bank rate decision. A cut is widely expected - tone of statement and presser will drive NZD.

HIGH IMPACT

WED 8 APR · 05:00 UTC · NZD

RBNZ Press Conference

Governor Orr's forward guidance on the rate path. Often more market-moving than the decision itself.

HIGH IMPACT

WED 8 APR · 20:00 UTC · USD

FOMC Meeting Minutes

Detailed Fed deliberations on rates and inflation. Watch for clues on the pace of any future cuts.

HIGH IMPACT

THU 9 APR · 14:30 UTC · USD

Core PCE Price Index m/m

The Fed's preferred inflation gauge. A hot reading could push back rate cut expectations significantly.

HIGH IMPACT

THU 9 APR · 14:30 UTC · USD

Final GDP q/q

Final Q4 US growth reading. Revisions to the preliminary figure can trigger sharp USD moves.

HIGH IMPACT

FRI 10 APR · 14:30 UTC · USD

CPI m/m & CPI y/y

Headline and annual US inflation. The week's biggest potential market mover - expect elevated volatility at release.

HIGH IMPACT

■ FULL WEEK AT A GLANCE

MON

APR

Bank Holiday – CNY, CHF, EUR (FR/DE/IT), GBP All Day · Low

ISM Services PMI 16:00 · USD · High

TUE

APR

No high-impact events scheduled.

WED

APR

Official Cash Rate (RBNZ) 04:00 · NZD · High

RBNZ Rate Statement 04:00 · NZD · High

RBNZ Press Conference 05:00 · NZD · High

FOMC Meeting Minutes 20:00 · USD · High

THU

APR

Core PCE Price Index m/m 14:30 · USD · High

Final GDP q/q 14:30 · USD · High

FRI

APR

CAD Employment Change 14:30 · CAD · High

CAD Unemployment Rate 14:30 · CAD · High

USD Core CPI m/m 14:30 · USD · High

USD CPI m/m 14:30 · USD · High

USD CPI y/y 14:30 · USD · High

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